Determining Your Pre-Revenue / Pre-Money Valuation

Thursday, May 26, 2011 by David Castor
Determining a valuation for a pre-revenue company is a difficult process.  A Harvard VC formula does not make sense at this stage as available P/E ratios essentially compare apples to oranges, cash flow projections are too untrustworthy to use a DCF method, and there is no such thing as a true market comp.  Investors must rely on qualitative factors in connection to valuation formulas to determine how much they think the thing is worth.  Some qualitative factors include:

•    Is the product proven in the market?
•    How great can the product become based on market size and need?
•    What is the competitive landscape and easy of entry into this market?
•    How proven is the management team and what are their past successes in this market?
•    What are the projected cash flows and expected return to investors?
•    What is the company’s IP position?

According to a recent survey of several angel investment groups represented at the 2010 Angel Capital Association Summit, pre-money valuations are on the decline.  Bill Payne’s blog post does a nice job of summarizing the survey findings.  Here is a summary:

2010 Angel Valuation Survey (Pre-money Valuation of Pre-revenue Companies)  

Tech Coast Angels

$1.25MM

Phenomenelle Angels

$1.30MM

New York Angels

$1.30MM

Frontier Angel Fund

$1.40MM

DC Dinner Clubs

$1.50MM

Vancouver Angel Network

$1.50MM

Midwest Groups (Okabe)

$1.50MM

RAIN Funds       

$1.65MM

Ohio TechAngels

$1.75MM

Band of Angels

$1.75MM

Life Science Angels         

$2.00MM

Alliance of Angels

$2.10MM

CommonAngels               

$2.70MM

mean   $1.67MM              mode   $1.50MM



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See Also:

Funding Law - How Much Does Your Business Need?
Changes to Accredited Investor Standards
Funding Innovation in Indiana
Funding Law - Investor Impatience
Random Thoughts on Private Equity
Funding Law - Know Your Numbers
Entrepreneurial Law - Developing a Good Business Model
Culture of Private Equity
A World of Private Equity
Rules of Funding
Entrepreneurial Law - Proof of Concept & Proof of Scale
Fatal Flaws in Leadership
Funding Law - Presentations to Investors






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Friday, June 3, 2011 by Bill Payne | Angel Investor:

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